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USDA raises India's Rapeseed crop outlook

Commodity Online 2019-03-13 12:52:34

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts 2018/19 India rapeseed production at 6.6 million metric tons, up 10 percent from the previous forecast, and up 2 percent from last year.

Area is forecast at 6.0 million hectares, unchanged from last month and last year. Yield is forecast at 1.10 metric tons per hectare, up 10 percent from last month and up 2 percent from last year.

The 2- percent increase in yield is due to ideal growing weather in northern India, the report said.

Rapeseed is grown in the rabi season and planting usually begins in late October.

The Southwest Monsoon withdrew later than normal this year and the residual soil moisture from the late withdrawal encouraged timely planting by farmers in northwestern and central India. Scattered storms in January aided crop development and another storm in February boosted vegetative growth and pod development. Temperatures so far have been slightly below average which is ideal for rapeseed development, the report noted.

Satellite-derived NDVI analysis depicts strong crop vigor in both Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh, which account for approximately 40 percent and 20 percent of total crop production, respectively. There are no reports of pest or disease infestation. Harvest activities will begin in the next few weeks, USDA said.